
1. Frank Gore RB San Francisco- One of the most overrated players in the NF, yet year after year he is consistently ranked in the Top 10 by many “experts”. I am fascinated by the individuals who draft Gore in the 1st round considering his stats and the injuries he has sustained. At Miami Gore had injuries to both of his knees which cost him considerable playing time. In the NFL Gore has only played a full season once, his 2nd year in the league. As to that, his age of 27 is noteworthy as Gore seems to have reached his full potential. Gore last year posted the second best stats of his career, however he only averaged 80 yards a game, while producing a career high 10 scores. An able pass catcher, Gore cannot depend on Alex Smith to offer an accurate passer and shouldn’t see the looks this year. In all Gore is overrated and reaching 10 TDs again is unlikely. His age and wear and tear should decrease his once impressive speed, yet in all I do not see 1,000 yards as a guarantee.
2. Steve Smith WR New York Giants- Any WR that has the fortune of playing with an elite QB like Eli Manning should produce dominant stats. What I see from Smith this year is not what we saw last year, the dominant target in the Giants pass attack. Much of that was attributed to early year success and the injuries of WR Hakim Nicks. Nicks last year showed game breaking abilities that should appear more often in 2010. This translates negatively for Smith who will be looked at as more of a second option for Manning. I don’t count out 800 yards receiving, yet low TD numbers are probable.
3. Ryan Matthews RB San Diego- Call me crazy but I just cannot get on the Matthews bandwagon. He was a high 1st round choice for the Chargers, and steps into one of the best offenses in the league, but something for me just looks questionable about Matthews. Playing last season at Fresno State, Matthews was one of the best RBs in the country, yet he suffered injuries during that season down the stretch and was playing against 2nd tier talent. What makes Matthews so appealing is his starting role in the San Diego backfield and sharing carriers on 3rd down situations with Darren Sproles. I personally like Sproles potential to breakout this year more than Matthews simply because of his proven capabilities. Adding to Matthews woes are the departures of many key pieces to the Charger line and the holdout of tackle Marcus McNeil doesn’t help matters. Matthews doesn’t possess the speed to compete at the NFL level, ball carrying skills are good, yet his ability for acceleration is average. If he can stay healthy expect average numbers for a rookie, 750 and a handful of scores.
4. Jerome Harrison RB Cleveland- No player put on a show the last few weeks of the season like Harrison. With the recent knee injury to rookie Montario Hardesty, Harrison looks to garner even more touches early in the season as the two battle it for carriers. What I worry about with Harrison is that much of his success last year came against the worst run defenses in the league in Kansas City (286), Oakland (148), and Jacksonville (127). In a full season against teams that the Browns will be outmatched against, especially in their own division, I don’t see him posting anything near those numbers. Furthering Harrison’s question marks are his modest (5’9 205) frame that offers little in terms of ability to stay healthy over a full season. In all, Harrisons hype is unjustified for 2010.
5. Kevin Kolb QB Philadelphia- Playing QB on a good team does not make you a good QB, ask Jake Delhomme. Kolb has been waiting in the wings to take over for Donovan McNabb for what seems years now. Kolb now has the opportunity, surrounded by a banged up line and with question marks at RB. He does however have intriguing WRs in Jeremy Maclin and DeSean Jackson. What many people are forgetting about Kolb and the Eagles this year is absence of Brian Westbrook. Still a Free Agent, the injury prone, yet game breaking back, separated the Eagles from NFL East counterparts and had chemistry with the also athletically gifted McNabb. This year’s Philadelphia team will be interesting to watch from the offensive side of the ball in seeing if they can duplicate past success. For Kolb I do not see him leading a revamped Eagles team that is still green at all of its skill positions. I expect early struggles with some success against weaker teams in the league.
6. Mike Sims-Walker WR Jacksonville- Putting up appreciable stats in his first season of 869 yards and 7 scores, Sims-Walker still plays for a shaky Jaguars squad which will struggle to score this upcoming season. What makes his position for success worse is the fact that QB David Garrard has shown he is not a starter in the NFL and behind him no talent exists. At best on a team Sims-Walker is a good #3. Sims-Walker has shown in his own right he is a good receiver, but he doesn’t show the elite skill to overcome a poor QB. See a few games he plays well this year, but 750 yards and 4 scores are a likely outcome.
7. Vince Young QB Tennessee- I personally have never liked Vince Young as the future NFL star he was projected to be. Still early in his career, Young has brought controversy and inconsistent play through his time with the Titans. His erratic accuracy along with bad decision making skills overall, makes for a bad mixture for dependability this year. Last year in games that he did play well in, it was either due to Chris Johnson making many of the plays or teams incorporating run focused defensive styles. Young doesn’t have any real receivers outside of Kenny Britt who is talented, yet still a young player. Young will have his opportunities for success as again schemes will look to stop Johnson. The benefit of that alone should allow him to operate at a similar level as he did last season. Young though is too inconsistent to look to offer success as a dependable backup. Look for no more than 1,700 yards 12 TDs and 10 INTs passing and rushing for around 300 yards and 2 scores.
8. Robert Meachem WR New Orleans- Usually you would think playing for a defending Super Bowl champion and having Drew Brees would equal opportunity for success for Meachem this season. It is not unlikely that Meachem will receive his fare share of looks, yet playing with so many other talented receivers, the opportunity for success are limited. I don’t see a repeat of the success that Saints had last year. The absence of a run game and loss of Jamal Brown makes me doubt their ability to match last year’s numbers. Meachem should have a decent year, yet look for his touchdown totals to fall drastically from 10 last year to around 4-5 this season. As for yards look for an increase to around 800. My biggest doubt is Meacham’s ability to play as a dependable #2 receiver on a fantasy team.
9. Braylon Edwards WR New York Jets- As of right now he is the go to guy for New York, yet his tendency to drop passes is of concern to me as he will be looked at as the second offensive option behind Greene this year. Braylon Edwards has never had the awareness to build upon his impressive skills, yet with inconsistent play and a 2nd year QB Mark Sanchez, I don’t see the boom for success Edwards has garnered by some. He does bring a star power that won’t be overlooked in drafts, as well as a potential for success with the absence of Santonio Holmes for the first 4 games, yet I don’t buy into it. It just is not a good mixture of experience at QB and dependability of Edwards to rely on a 1,000 yard season. Look for modest numbers that should equal those of #3 receiving option.
10. Matt Forte RB Chicago Bears- If you look up “Sophomore Slump” in the dictionary, which there isn’t, you will find a picture of Matt Forte. The success he posted in his first year showed promise last year as a potential staple in the fantasy Top 10 for years to come. Unlikely for Forte, last season the Bears acquired Jay Cutler, replacing Kyle Orton as the teams QB. Again for Forte, he will have to suffer again under a team that Cutler commands and will be slowed as teams load the box to stop Forte. The offensive line doesn’t help Forte this year as the addition of TE Brandon Manumaleuna doesn’t upgrade the blocking significantly enough for success in 2010. I would expect better stats this year from Forte, but only by a little as the cast surrounding him doesn’t offer opportunities for success.
2. Steve Smith WR New York Giants- Any WR that has the fortune of playing with an elite QB like Eli Manning should produce dominant stats. What I see from Smith this year is not what we saw last year, the dominant target in the Giants pass attack. Much of that was attributed to early year success and the injuries of WR Hakim Nicks. Nicks last year showed game breaking abilities that should appear more often in 2010. This translates negatively for Smith who will be looked at as more of a second option for Manning. I don’t count out 800 yards receiving, yet low TD numbers are probable.
3. Ryan Matthews RB San Diego- Call me crazy but I just cannot get on the Matthews bandwagon. He was a high 1st round choice for the Chargers, and steps into one of the best offenses in the league, but something for me just looks questionable about Matthews. Playing last season at Fresno State, Matthews was one of the best RBs in the country, yet he suffered injuries during that season down the stretch and was playing against 2nd tier talent. What makes Matthews so appealing is his starting role in the San Diego backfield and sharing carriers on 3rd down situations with Darren Sproles. I personally like Sproles potential to breakout this year more than Matthews simply because of his proven capabilities. Adding to Matthews woes are the departures of many key pieces to the Charger line and the holdout of tackle Marcus McNeil doesn’t help matters. Matthews doesn’t possess the speed to compete at the NFL level, ball carrying skills are good, yet his ability for acceleration is average. If he can stay healthy expect average numbers for a rookie, 750 and a handful of scores.
4. Jerome Harrison RB Cleveland- No player put on a show the last few weeks of the season like Harrison. With the recent knee injury to rookie Montario Hardesty, Harrison looks to garner even more touches early in the season as the two battle it for carriers. What I worry about with Harrison is that much of his success last year came against the worst run defenses in the league in Kansas City (286), Oakland (148), and Jacksonville (127). In a full season against teams that the Browns will be outmatched against, especially in their own division, I don’t see him posting anything near those numbers. Furthering Harrison’s question marks are his modest (5’9 205) frame that offers little in terms of ability to stay healthy over a full season. In all, Harrisons hype is unjustified for 2010.
5. Kevin Kolb QB Philadelphia- Playing QB on a good team does not make you a good QB, ask Jake Delhomme. Kolb has been waiting in the wings to take over for Donovan McNabb for what seems years now. Kolb now has the opportunity, surrounded by a banged up line and with question marks at RB. He does however have intriguing WRs in Jeremy Maclin and DeSean Jackson. What many people are forgetting about Kolb and the Eagles this year is absence of Brian Westbrook. Still a Free Agent, the injury prone, yet game breaking back, separated the Eagles from NFL East counterparts and had chemistry with the also athletically gifted McNabb. This year’s Philadelphia team will be interesting to watch from the offensive side of the ball in seeing if they can duplicate past success. For Kolb I do not see him leading a revamped Eagles team that is still green at all of its skill positions. I expect early struggles with some success against weaker teams in the league.
6. Mike Sims-Walker WR Jacksonville- Putting up appreciable stats in his first season of 869 yards and 7 scores, Sims-Walker still plays for a shaky Jaguars squad which will struggle to score this upcoming season. What makes his position for success worse is the fact that QB David Garrard has shown he is not a starter in the NFL and behind him no talent exists. At best on a team Sims-Walker is a good #3. Sims-Walker has shown in his own right he is a good receiver, but he doesn’t show the elite skill to overcome a poor QB. See a few games he plays well this year, but 750 yards and 4 scores are a likely outcome.
7. Vince Young QB Tennessee- I personally have never liked Vince Young as the future NFL star he was projected to be. Still early in his career, Young has brought controversy and inconsistent play through his time with the Titans. His erratic accuracy along with bad decision making skills overall, makes for a bad mixture for dependability this year. Last year in games that he did play well in, it was either due to Chris Johnson making many of the plays or teams incorporating run focused defensive styles. Young doesn’t have any real receivers outside of Kenny Britt who is talented, yet still a young player. Young will have his opportunities for success as again schemes will look to stop Johnson. The benefit of that alone should allow him to operate at a similar level as he did last season. Young though is too inconsistent to look to offer success as a dependable backup. Look for no more than 1,700 yards 12 TDs and 10 INTs passing and rushing for around 300 yards and 2 scores.
8. Robert Meachem WR New Orleans- Usually you would think playing for a defending Super Bowl champion and having Drew Brees would equal opportunity for success for Meachem this season. It is not unlikely that Meachem will receive his fare share of looks, yet playing with so many other talented receivers, the opportunity for success are limited. I don’t see a repeat of the success that Saints had last year. The absence of a run game and loss of Jamal Brown makes me doubt their ability to match last year’s numbers. Meachem should have a decent year, yet look for his touchdown totals to fall drastically from 10 last year to around 4-5 this season. As for yards look for an increase to around 800. My biggest doubt is Meacham’s ability to play as a dependable #2 receiver on a fantasy team.
9. Braylon Edwards WR New York Jets- As of right now he is the go to guy for New York, yet his tendency to drop passes is of concern to me as he will be looked at as the second offensive option behind Greene this year. Braylon Edwards has never had the awareness to build upon his impressive skills, yet with inconsistent play and a 2nd year QB Mark Sanchez, I don’t see the boom for success Edwards has garnered by some. He does bring a star power that won’t be overlooked in drafts, as well as a potential for success with the absence of Santonio Holmes for the first 4 games, yet I don’t buy into it. It just is not a good mixture of experience at QB and dependability of Edwards to rely on a 1,000 yard season. Look for modest numbers that should equal those of #3 receiving option.
10. Matt Forte RB Chicago Bears- If you look up “Sophomore Slump” in the dictionary, which there isn’t, you will find a picture of Matt Forte. The success he posted in his first year showed promise last year as a potential staple in the fantasy Top 10 for years to come. Unlikely for Forte, last season the Bears acquired Jay Cutler, replacing Kyle Orton as the teams QB. Again for Forte, he will have to suffer again under a team that Cutler commands and will be slowed as teams load the box to stop Forte. The offensive line doesn’t help Forte this year as the addition of TE Brandon Manumaleuna doesn’t upgrade the blocking significantly enough for success in 2010. I would expect better stats this year from Forte, but only by a little as the cast surrounding him doesn’t offer opportunities for success.






